68 points (17 wins, three losses) 138.5 per cent

Rd 22: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium

Rd 23: Sydney Swans at ANZ Stadium 

- They are certain of a top-two finish and a home qualifying final.

- They can only fall from top spot if they lose in round 23 and Geelong wins both games by a large enough margin to overtake them on percentage. 

- They're safe in the top four, regardless of other results.

- They can still finish on top by beating the Swans in round 23 and hoping the Cats don't win both games and overtake them on percentage.

- But they could also finish as low as fourth if they lose to the Swans, the Swans beat Geelong, the Cats beat the Lions by enough to overtake them on percentage, and Fremantle wins both of its games.

Predicted finish: first

Predicted finals match-up: Hawthorn v Sydney Swans, first qualifying final, MCG

64 points (16 wins, four losses) 136.4 per cent

Rd 22: Sydney Swans at Simonds Stadium

Rd 23: Brisbane Lions at Simonds Stadium

- They will still need to beat the Brisbane Lions in round 23 to be assured of finishing above Fremantle and locking in a home qualifying final.

- They could finish on top if they win in round 23 and Hawthorn loses both games, or loses one game and falls behind on percentage.

- They are still likely to drop out of the top two if they lose in round 23.

- They are safe in the top four but cannot finish on top if Hawthorn beats North Melbourne. 

- They can still finish second if they beat the Lions in round 23, the Swans lose to Hawthorn and the Dockers drop a game against either Port Adelaide or St Kilda.

Predicted finish: second

Predicted finals match-up: Geelong v Fremantle, second qualifying final, Etihad Stadium

62 points (15 wins, four losses, one draw) 140.7 per cent

Rd 22: Geelong at Simonds Stadium

Rd 23: Hawthorn at ANZ Stadium

- They have a chance of finishing on top if they beat Hawthorn in round 23 and stay ahead of Fremantle on percentage.

- They could still finish as low as fourth with a loss to the Hawks.

- They cannot make the top two, even with all other results going their way.

- They are safe in the top four and could finish third if they beat Hawthorn, and Fremantle drops a game.

Predicted finish: fourth

Predicted finals match-up: Hawthorn v Sydney Swans, first qualifying final, MCG

62 points (15 wins, four losses, one draw) 138.2 per cent

Rd 22: Port Adelaide at Patersons Stadium

Rd 23: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium

- They'll finish in the top two if they win in round 23 and other results go their way.

- They're still likely to miss the top two if they lose in round 23, unless other results go their way and they finish ahead of the Swans on percentage.

- They're safe in the top four even if they lose in round 23 as well.

- Their only chance to make the top two and get a home qualifying final would be if they thrash St Kilda in round 23, Geelong loses its remaining two games, and then Hawthorn thrashes the Swans, moving them ahead of the Swans on percentage.

Predicted finish: third

Predicted finals match-up: Geelong v Fremantle, second qualifying final, Etihad Stadium.

52 points (13 wins, seven losses) 114.6 per cent

Rd 22: Greater Western Sydney at Skoda Stadium

Rd 23: Essendon at the MCG

- They'll stay in the top six, but would need to win the following week to guarantee staying there. 

- Their highest possible finish is fifth.

- They can finish anywhere from fifth to eighth.

Predicted finish: fifth

Predicted finals match-up: Richmond v Essendon, first elimination final at the MCG.

52 points (13 wins and seven losses) 113.4 per cent

 

Rd 22: West Coast at the MCG

Rd 23: North Melbourne at the MCG

- They will lock in an elimination final in Melbourne

- They can still finish as high as fifth, earning a 'home' elimination final 

- They can mathematically finish as low as eighth

- They can still finish as high as fifth, but would need Richmond to lose at least one of its final two matches 

Predicted finish: sixth 

Predicted final match-up: Collingwood v Port Adelaide, second elimination final, MCG   

52 points (13 wins, seven losses) 109.8 per cent

 

Rd 22: Carlton at the MCG

Rd 23: Richmond at the MCG

- They can't finish lower than seventh and will lock in an elimination final in Melbourne, assuming they retain their premiership points

- They can still finish as high as fifth, but will be relying on Richmond and Collingwood to each lose one of their final two games

- They can finish as low as eighth

- They can still finish fifth, but would need Richmond to suffer a shock upset against GWS on Sunday

- They can still finish sixth, but would need Collingwood to lose to West Coast at the MCG on Friday night

Predicted finish: eighth 

Predicted final match-up: Richmond v Essendon, first elimination final, MCG   

48 points (12 wins, eight losses) 107.0 per cent

 

Rd 22: Fremantle at Patersons Stadium

Rd 23: Carlton at AAMI Stadium

- They will secure their first finals appearance since 2007

- They can still finish sixth and earn a home elimination final, but will be relying on Collingwood to lose its final two matches

- They will still be guaranteed a finals berth if Carlton loses to Essendon in round 22

- They will face a play-off for eighth spot against Carlton in round 23, assuming the Blues beat the Bombers on Saturday night 

- They can finish ninth but still play finals if Essendon is stripped of premiership points 

Predicted finish: seventh 

Predicted final match-up: Collingwood v Port Adelaide, second elimination final, MCG