44 points (11 wins, five losses), 135.5 per cent

The Swans have lost too many matches at the death for it to be sheer coincidence and their lack of composure and poor decision making at the end of the Richmond, Bulldogs and now, Hawthorn games has cost them a top spot and for now, the double chance. The upside is that the Swans will have Kurt Tippett and Sam Reid back for the finals and they're needed – Lance Franklin can't carry this team on his own shoulders. Carlton this week affords them the chance to get back on track, but there remain some tricky games thereafter. 

The run home
Rd 18: Carlton (SCG)
Rd 19: Fremantle (Domain Stadium)
Rd 20: Port Adelaide (SCG)
Rd 21: St Kilda (Etihad Stadium)
Rd 22: North Melbourne (Blundstone Arena)
Rd 23: Richmond (SCG)

The coach says:
"We win tonight and we're on top of the ladder, so I'm still pretty confident with the year we've got. I think we've made some giant steps forward and I think we've still got a fair bit of footy to play this year." John Longmire - post match Rd 17, 2016.